Description

This analysis provides a forecast of BCH prices using a Seasonal ARIMA model with Box-Cox transformation. The forecast includes different scenarios:

The confidence levels used are 68%, 95%, and 99.7%, which means there is a corresponding probability that the actual price will fall within the Bear and Bull case range for each confidence level.

The purpose of this model is to help investors understand potential future price movements and make informed decisions based on different market scenarios.

Bear_0.997 Bear_0.95 Bear_0.68 Base Bull_0.68 Bull_0.95 Bull_0.997
2025-09-07 407.495985 464.128868 527.416409 603.681801 693.487568 796.354048 923.781051
2025-09-14 315.866790 387.161064 474.211469 589.472533 739.800015 931.611904 1198.780236
2025-09-21 270.878789 347.982290 447.687200 588.235008 784.786905 1055.329134 1465.637383
2025-09-28 230.941866 307.309277 410.444590 563.012464 788.385195 1118.034278 1654.216505
2025-10-05 215.307938 296.184172 410.012747 586.427335 861.420145 1288.850699 2035.657799
2025-10-12 203.824038 288.855007 413.072762 613.972216 943.181488 1485.181211 2500.095587
2025-10-19 188.528277 273.858713 402.453296 618.067503 986.868310 1625.283448 2896.790430
2025-10-26 171.446732 254.197087 382.179609 603.385525 995.837170 1705.305833 3197.193968
2025-11-02 157.781434 238.409710 366.153134 593.330141 1010.595538 1797.019894 3540.868968
2025-11-09 150.948308 232.753788 365.765109 609.741811 1075.238433 1994.162350 4157.939881
2025-11-16 141.265192 221.501964 354.800554 605.724251 1100.147380 2115.739005 4635.858953
2025-11-23 131.976164 210.087203 342.408402 597.456025 1115.143305 2218.643283 5096.285132
2025-11-30 125.031376 202.316165 336.042565 600.571104 1155.426222 2388.221521 5789.924802
2025-12-07 116.432213 191.011973 322.387589 588.062041 1161.249728 2481.459984 6310.698851
2025-12-14 110.238590 183.440704 314.804601 586.646630 1190.816147 2636.790660 7063.519302
2025-12-21 101.568972 170.766072 296.630856 561.524409 1163.292404 2645.280208 7371.407447
2025-12-28 99.642325 170.241698 301.398505 584.862838 1251.626138 2970.827510 8831.631161
2026-01-04 98.237685 170.547703 307.747833 612.319898 1354.576090 3361.334740 10700.957207
2026-01-11 94.355066 165.852578 303.759693 616.401992 1400.020433 3600.737274 12126.668365
2026-01-18 88.865360 157.683385 292.096373 601.767124 1394.956607 3689.661369 12994.845949
2026-01-25 84.256584 150.936558 282.837026 591.743876 1400.754845 3814.151635 14080.379972
2026-02-01 82.442707 149.579790 284.663799 608.103043 1481.152834 4197.749158 16553.729534
2026-02-08 78.922901 144.568510 278.354539 604.098361 1503.881873 4396.289938 18262.758138